ADT 1-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 32%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.31/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.37
-8% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
30.3 Crosses 20.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Cienciano
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.06 xG 1.63
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
173 Passes 287
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 1-1 ADT ADT PER
30.04.2023 ADT ADT 3-4 HT 1-4 Cienciano Cienciano PER
24.07.2022 ADT ADT 0-1 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.02.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
1-1
AWAY Cienciano
2.54 xG 0.71
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
358 Passes 122
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH ADT vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT and Cienciano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ADT at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ADT had 69% of the ball to Cienciano's 31%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.54 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for ADT and 1.75 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of ADT vs Cienciano?

ADT 1-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ADT 43%, draw 27%, Cienciano 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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