Nieciecza vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nieciecza v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals
Nieciecza vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL1
1-4
HT 1-1
Nieciecza
POL1
Nieciecza 1-1 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics
Nieciecza and Pogon Siedlce couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Nieciecza carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Nieciecza had 60% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 40%, shots finished 13-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Nieciecza and 0.67 for Pogon Siedlce.
What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Pogon Siedlce?
Nieciecza 1-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Pogon Siedlce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 57%, draw 23%, Pogon Siedlce 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.