Botosani 2-2 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 32% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.19/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.68
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
214 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
19.3 Crosses 23.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 2.90
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
225 Passes 458
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
18.02.2024 Botosani Botosani 2-2 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
01.10.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 5-1 HT 2-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
21.01.2023 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
29.08.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
27.05.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
2-2
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.69 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
264 Passes 360
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani and Universitatea Craiova shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botosani had 46% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 54%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.69 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botosani and 1.67 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova?

Botosani 2-2 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botosani 33%, draw 25%, Universitatea Craiova 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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