Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

Etoile Du Sahel
2-1 HT 2-0
ES Metlaoui
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Metlaoui Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.95
No
60%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.53
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
30%
+10.1pp
60%
BTTS No
70%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etoile Du Sahel v ES Metlaoui — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.77/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.33
+31% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +19%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
407 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Metlaoui Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
2W-2D-1L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.10.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
03.03.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
12.12.2020 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
22.02.2020 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 5-1 HT 2-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
21.12.2019 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel edged past ES Metlaoui 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Etoile Du Sahel as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 0.60 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?

Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 58%, draw 24%, ES Metlaoui 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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