ES Metlaoui 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
24%
2.7
Away
46%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.33
Over 2.5
35%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
16%
9.0
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
34%
-9.0pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+9.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
72%
-7.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
28%
+7.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.8pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 39%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.16/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.21
+22% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
12.12.2020 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
22.02.2020 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 5-1 HT 2-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
21.12.2019 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui and Etoile Du Sahel fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Etoile Du Sahel at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ES Metlaoui and 2.00 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Etoile Du Sahel?

ES Metlaoui 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 30%, draw 25%, Etoile Du Sahel 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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