ES Tunis 0-0 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
3.05
No
62%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 31% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.9pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
29%
+9.1pp
62%
BTTS No
71%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.86/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.44
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -2%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
5W-1D-0L
AWAY CA Bizertin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.01.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-1 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1B
08.11.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-2 HT 0-2 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1B
05.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TNUSK
02.02.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 2-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1A
02.11.2022 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1A
09.03.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1A
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis and CA Bizertin played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ES Tunis at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ES Tunis and 0.17 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin?

ES Tunis 0-0 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 61%, draw 26%, CA Bizertin 13%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ES Tunis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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