AS Ariana 5-2 Kalaa Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalaa Sport EU Bookmakers 22%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.34/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.08
+1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Ariana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kalaa Sport
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
7 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2024 Kalaa Sport Kalaa Sport 3-2 AS Ariana TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
5-2
AWAY Kalaa Sport
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 14
14 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Kalaa Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana cruised past Kalaa Sport 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AS Ariana as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Ariana had 52% of the ball to Kalaa Sport's 48%, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Kalaa Sport?

AS Ariana 5-2 Kalaa Sport in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Kalaa Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 49%, draw 26%, Kalaa Sport 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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