Kallithea 1-3 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.39
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.27
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.25
X/X
10%
4.31
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.42
2/X
10%
12.95
Value flag · X/2 at 6.25 — our 19% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.28/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.05
+25% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.2 Crosses 16.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kallithea
1W-3D-2L
AWAY OFI
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.05 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
338 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 OFI OFI 2-2 HT 2-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
27.11.2005 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
05.03.2005 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
31.10.2004 Kallithea Kallithea 3-1 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
07.12.2003 Kallithea Kallithea 1-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
19.01.2003 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
1-3
AWAY OFI
2.14 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
342 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 24
35 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI saw off Kallithea 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day OFI made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Kallithea had 55% of the ball to OFI's 45%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.14 to 1.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kallithea.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kallithea and 1.33 for OFI.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs OFI?

Kallithea 1-3 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 33%, draw 28%, OFI 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFI), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OFI) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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