Pontedera 1-3 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
54%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.68
Over
54%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
2.07
No
44%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.6
2-3
40%
1.7
4-5
27%
3.99
6+
9%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Pontedera The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli The Market 61%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.34 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.90
1.96 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.24
Great Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Bad
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ascoli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2025 Ascoli Ascoli 5-0 HT 2-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
22.03.2025 Pontedera Pontedera 1-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
10.11.2024 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
18.03.2015 Pontedera Pontedera 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
02.11.2014 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
23.03.2014 Pontedera Pontedera 5-0 HT 3-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-3
AWAY Ascoli
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Pontedera vs Ascoli
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ascoli had too much for Pontedera 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, Ascoli saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Pontedera against 1.33 for Ascoli.

Pontedera vs Ascoli Result & Final Score

Pontedera 1-3 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pontedera vs Ascoli Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 21%, draw 25%, Ascoli 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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