Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-2 HERA United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.66
No
34%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
56%
+9.3pp
34%
BTTS No
44%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY HERA United (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-55% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY HERA United (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
286 Passes 244
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 HERA United (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-2
AWAY HERA United (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
311 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs HERA United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HERA United (K) squeezed past Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; HERA United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 51% of the ball to HERA United (K)'s 49%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs HERA United (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-2 HERA United (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs HERA United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Barendrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 39%, draw 25%, HERA United (K) 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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