Al Kahrabaa 5-0 Baghdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.16
No
45%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
42%
+13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
58%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Baghdad EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Kahrabaa vs Baghdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kahrabaa swept aside Baghdad 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Baghdad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Kahrabaa vs Baghdad?

Al Kahrabaa 5-0 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kahrabaa vs Baghdad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baghdad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Kahrabaa 27%, draw 29%, Baghdad 44%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baghdad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
22 Feb 2026
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23:15 Baghdad vs Al Kahrabaa Analysis →