Baghdad 0-5 Al Kahrabaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.16
No
45%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.9pp
45%
BTTS No
58%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baghdad EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 43%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
2.27/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+112% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Baghdad vs Al Kahrabaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kahrabaa swept aside Baghdad 5-0 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Kahrabaa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baghdad vs Al Kahrabaa?

Baghdad 0-5 Al Kahrabaa in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baghdad vs Al Kahrabaa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kahrabaa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 30%, draw 29%, Al Kahrabaa 41%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kahrabaa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kahrabaa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
22 Feb 2026
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