Havadar 1-0 Fard Alborz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
47%
2.61
Away
17%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.25
Over 2.5
20%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%
2.75
No
74%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
60%
1.58
2-3 Goals
24%
1.92
4-5 Goals
11%
9.11
6+ Goals
5%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.58 — our 60% vs market 52.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
34%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
47%
Draw
35%
+11.5pp
17%
Away Win
26%
-8.7pp
80%
Under 2.5
76%
+3.9pp
20%
Over 2.5
24%
-3.9pp
26%
BTTS Yes
32%
-6.4pp
74%
BTTS No
68%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fard Alborz EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.48/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.67
-56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fard Alborz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30.09.2025 Fard Alborz 0-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Fard Alborz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havadar edged past Fard Alborz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (80%), no to both teams scoring (74%) came in.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Fard Alborz?

Havadar 1-0 Fard Alborz in the Iran - Azadegan League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Fard Alborz?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Havadar 36%, draw 47%, Fard Alborz 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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