Nassaji Mazandaran 3-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 22 Feb 2026

Nassaji Mazandaran
3-1 HT 0-1
Saipa
📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2025/2026

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.28
Over 2.5
21%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.95
No
72%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
53%
1.67
2-3 Goals
31%
1.86
4-5 Goals
10%
8.04
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
79%
Under 2.5
75%
+4.7pp
21%
Over 2.5
25%
-4.7pp
28%
BTTS Yes
30%
-1.5pp
72%
BTTS No
70%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nassaji Mazandaran v Saipa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.33/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.01
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Saipa
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
The Meetings
20.11.2025 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRANK
30.09.2025 Saipa Saipa 1-2 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRANAZ
17.03.2021 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRAN
11.03.2021 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANK
25.11.2020 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran got the better of Saipa 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nassaji Mazandaran as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (79%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nassaji Mazandaran had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran and 0.40 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa?

Nassaji Mazandaran 3-1 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nassaji Mazandaran win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 47%, draw 32%, Saipa 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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