Saipa 1-2 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.53
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
1.74
2-3 Goals
31%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
7.46
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.9pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.0pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+51% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
17.03.2021 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRAN
11.03.2021 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANK
25.11.2020 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran edged past Saipa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Nassaji Mazandaran made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Saipa and 0.33 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Saipa 1-2 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Saipa 35%, draw 32%, Nassaji Mazandaran 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saipa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRANAZ More Iran - Azadegan League
30 Sep 2025
00:00 Pars Jam Bushehr vs Ario Eslamshahr Analysis →
14:45 Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Naft Gachsaran Analysis →
15:30 Fard Alborz vs Havadar Analysis →
16:30 Mes Kerman vs SC Damash Gilanian Analysis →
16:45 Niroye Zamini vs Besat Kermanshah Analysis →
18:30 Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Analysis →