Shahrdari Noshahr FC 3-1 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
6.27
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.6pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Noshahr FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 32%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.00/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.78
-6% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahrdari Noshahr FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.01.2025 Shahrdari Noshahr FC Shahrdari Noshahr FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
10.09.2024 Naft Gachsaran 1-0 HT 1-0 Shahrdari Noshahr FC Shahrdari Noshahr FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shahrdari Noshahr FC beat Naft Gachsaran 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Shahrdari Noshahr FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft Gachsaran led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shahrdari Noshahr FC and 1.50 for Naft Gachsaran.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Naft Gachsaran?

Shahrdari Noshahr FC 3-1 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shahrdari Noshahr FC win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Noshahr FC 33%, draw 33%, Naft Gachsaran 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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