Shahrdari Noshahr FC 1-2 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Noshahr FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 33%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.82
+11% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +17%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
192 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahrdari Noshahr FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.09.2024 Naft Gachsaran 1-0 HT 1-0 Shahrdari Noshahr FC Shahrdari Noshahr FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran nicked a narrow win over Shahrdari Noshahr FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shahrdari Noshahr FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Naft Gachsaran?

Shahrdari Noshahr FC 1-2 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shahrdari Noshahr FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Noshahr FC 45%, draw 28%, Naft Gachsaran 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shahrdari Noshahr FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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