Sanat Naft 2-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.36
Over 2.5
25%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
11%
7.4
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
24%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.2pp
75%
Under 2.5
70%
+5.5pp
25%
Over 2.5
30%
-5.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-2.4pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.95/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.63
+90% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanat Naft
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Saipa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
09.09.2024 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRANAZ
25.06.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRAN
29.12.2020 Saipa Saipa 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft squeezed past Saipa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 28% — and on the day Sanat Naft made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanat Naft had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sanat Naft and 0.33 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Saipa?

Sanat Naft 2-1 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 38%, draw 35%, Saipa 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanat Naft) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanat Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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