Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
28%
-7.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.22/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.22
-13% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.09.2024 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
02.11.2023 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and Naft Masjed Soleyman couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mes Shahr-e Babak FC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and 1.00 for Naft Masjed Soleyman.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 55%, draw 20%, Naft Masjed Soleyman 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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