Puszcza Niepolomice 4-1 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.04/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.14
-20% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-2 HT 1-2 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
31.10.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-0 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POLK
11.02.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
23.07.2022 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 HT 1-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
4-1
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice ran out comfortable winners over Stal Rzeszow 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Puszcza Niepolomice made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 47% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 53%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stal Rzeszow led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.25 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Stal Rzeszow?

Puszcza Niepolomice 4-1 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 35%, draw 26%, Stal Rzeszow 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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