Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Polonia Bytom v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
Polonia Bytom 1-1 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics
Polonia Bytom and Pogon Siedlce couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Polonia Bytom had 48% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 52%, shots finished 7-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Polonia Bytom and 2.00 for Pogon Siedlce.
What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce?
Polonia Bytom 1-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 49%, draw 23%, Pogon Siedlce 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Bytom) went the other way.