Carolina Core vs Northern Virginia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carolina Core v Northern Virginia — Team-Based Signals
Carolina Core 3-2 Northern Virginia — Actual Match Statistics
Carolina Core edged past Northern Virginia 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carolina Core as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Carolina Core had 51% of the ball to Northern Virginia's 49%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.80 to 1.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Carolina Core's control.
What was the final score of Carolina Core vs Northern Virginia?
Carolina Core 3-2 Northern Virginia in the USA - Open Cup on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carolina Core vs Northern Virginia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carolina Core win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Carolina Core 52%, draw 20%, Northern Virginia 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carolina Core), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.