Steel City 0-1 Michigan Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
13%
+14.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
53%
Away Win
70%
-17.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steel City EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Michigan Stars EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Steel City
0-1
AWAY Michigan Stars
1.25 xG 1.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
234 Passes 318
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Steel City vs Michigan Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Michigan Stars nicked a narrow win over Steel City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Michigan Stars as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Steel City had 44% of the ball to Michigan Stars's 56%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.25 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Steel City vs Michigan Stars?

Steel City 0-1 Michigan Stars in the USA - Open Cup on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steel City vs Michigan Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Michigan Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Steel City 27%, draw 20%, Michigan Stars 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Michigan Stars), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Michigan Stars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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