Buchbach 1-3 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.45/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.43
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nürnberg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.09.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-2 HT 1-2 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
14.04.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 4-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-0 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
06.03.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
17.08.2021 Buchbach Buchbach 2-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
16.11.2019 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-1 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buchbach
1-3
AWAY Nürnberg II
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II beat Buchbach 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Buchbach had 45% of the ball to Nürnberg II's 55%, shots finished 19-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Buchbach and 2.50 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Nürnberg II?

Buchbach 1-3 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 37%, draw 21%, Nürnberg II 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
22 Mar 2024
21:00 Homburg vs Stuttgart II Analysis →
21:00 Bayern München II vs Augsburg II Analysis →