ABD 3-1 Jamaika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 22 Mar 2024

ABD
3-1 HT 0-1
Jamaika
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
CONCACAF Champions League – 2023/2024

ABD vs Jamaika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.4
2-3 Goals
34%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.48
6+ Goals
15%
13.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-6.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-6.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD v Jamaika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamaika EU Bookmakers 15%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
2.62/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.86
+5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
47.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
29.9 Crosses 13.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

ABD vs Jamaika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jamaika
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.95 xG 0.93
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
436 Passes 218
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.06.2023 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-1 Jamaika Jamaika GK
17.11.2021 Jamaika Jamaika 1-1 HT 1-1 ABD ABD DKE
08.10.2021 ABD ABD 2-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
26.07.2021 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika GK
25.03.2021 ABD ABD 4-1 HT 1-0 Jamaika Jamaika HAZ
04.07.2019 Jamaika Jamaika 1-3 HT 0-1 ABD ABD GK

ABD 3-1 Jamaika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
3-1
AWAY Jamaika
2.68 xG 0.71
78% Ball Possession 22%
25 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
835 Passes 151
89% Pass Accuracy 58%
46 Box Touches 10
41 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ABD vs Jamaika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD got the better of Jamaika 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ABD as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, ABD had 78% of the ball to Jamaika's 22%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.68 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ABD and 0.67 for Jamaika.

What was the final score of ABD vs Jamaika?

ABD 3-1 Jamaika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Jamaika?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split ABD 62%, draw 20%, Jamaika 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ABD) ✓ Over 2.5
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