Panama 0-3 Meksika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
52%
Away Win
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panama EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika EU Bookmakers 60%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.69/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
-100% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -14%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
284 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
14.0 Crosses 18.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panama
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Meksika
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.64 xG 1.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
300 Passes 341
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2023 Meksika Meksika 1-0 HT 0-0 Panama Panama GK
19.06.2023 Panama Panama 0-1 HT 0-1 Meksika Meksika CON
03.02.2022 Meksika Meksika 1-0 HT 0-0 Panama Panama DKE
09.09.2021 Panama Panama 1-1 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika DKE
01.07.2021 Meksika Meksika 3-0 HT 1-0 Panama Panama HAZ
16.11.2019 Panama Panama 0-3 HT 0-1 Meksika Meksika CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panama
0-3
AWAY Meksika
1.44 xG 1.22
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
340 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panama vs Meksika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika cruised past Panama 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Panama had 59% of the ball to Meksika's 41%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.44 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Panama and 1.67 for Meksika.

What was the final score of Panama vs Meksika?

Panama 0-3 Meksika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panama vs Meksika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Panama 27%, draw 21%, Meksika 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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22 Mar 2024
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