Emelec vs Delfin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emelec v Delfin — Team-Based Signals
Emelec vs Delfin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Delfin
EKV1
3-2
HT 1-1
Emelec
EKV1
0-3
HT 0-1
Emelec
EKV1
1-2
HT 0-1
Delfin
EKV1
1-2
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
Delfin
EKV1
Emelec 2-0 Delfin — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec got the better of Delfin 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Emelec as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Emelec had 60% of the ball to Delfin's 40%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.77 to 0.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Emelec and 1.17 for Delfin.
What was the final score of Emelec vs Delfin?
Emelec 2-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emelec vs Delfin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Emelec 53%, draw 26%, Delfin 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emelec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.