Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Mar 2024

Tecnico Universitario
1-1 HT 1-1
Independiente Del Valle
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
47%
-12.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tecnico Universitario v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.27/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.98
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.4 Crosses 15.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.26
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
194 Passes 422
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
22.04.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
11.10.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-1 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
15.05.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
25.09.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
01.04.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-1
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.39 xG 1.07
26% Ball Possession 74%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
117 Passes 456
64% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario and Independiente Del Valle shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 26% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 74%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.39 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.50 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle?

Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 35%, draw 30%, Independiente Del Valle 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
22 Mar 2024
03:00 Emelec vs Delfin Analysis →