Almanya U20 3-1 Fransa U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Ülkeler U23, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.03
Over 2.5
39%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 30% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
45%
+15.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
55%
-15.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya U20 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa U20 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Almanya U20 vs Fransa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U20 saw off Fransa U20 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Almanya U20 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Almanya U20 vs Fransa U20?

Almanya U20 3-1 Fransa U20 in the Friendlies - Ülkeler U23 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya U20 vs Fransa U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Almanya U20 36%, draw 28%, Fransa U20 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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