Japonya U23 1-3 Mali U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Ülkeler U23, 22 Mar 2024

Japonya U23
1-3 HT 1-1
Mali U23
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒13:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies - Ülkeler U23 – 2023

Japonya U23 vs Mali U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.0pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Japonya U23 v Mali U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mali U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Japonya U23 1-3 Mali U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
1-3
AWAY Mali U23
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs Mali U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mali U23 got the better of Japonya U23 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Japonya U23 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 62% of the ball to Mali U23's 38%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs Mali U23?

Japonya U23 1-3 Mali U23 in the Friendlies - Ülkeler U23 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs Mali U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 56%, draw 23%, Mali U23 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Japonya U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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