Sunderland U21 4-2 Leicester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
3.59
Over
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
35%
4-5
28%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.9pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City U21 The Market 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.7
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
4-2
AWAY Leicester City U21
3.21 xG 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
468 Passes 287
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Leicester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 beat Leicester City U21 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sunderland U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 60% of the ball to Leicester City U21's 40%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.21 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Sunderland U21 4-2 Leicester City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 50%, draw 25%, Leicester City U21 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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