Gorica 2-0 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 22 Mar 2024

Gorica
2-0 HT 1-0
Krka
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.53
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
61%
-19.4pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.7pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.97/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.64
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Krka
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.09.2023 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
27.03.2022 Krka Krka 2-2 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
06.12.2015 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
27.09.2015 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN
02.08.2015 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN
25.04.2015 Gorica Gorica 3-0 HT 2-0 Krka Krka SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
2-0
AWAY Krka
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica saw off Krka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gorica had 57% of the ball to Krka's 43%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gorica and 0.83 for Krka.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Krka?

Gorica 2-0 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gorica 42%, draw 30%, Krka 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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