Tabor Sezana 0-4 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
57%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
57%
Away Win
57%
+0.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 61%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.88
-1% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tabor Sezana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nafta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.09.2023 Nafta Nafta 0-0 HT 0-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tabor Sezana vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta ran out comfortable winners over Tabor Sezana 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Tabor Sezana vs Nafta?

Tabor Sezana 0-4 Nafta in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tabor Sezana vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tabor Sezana 20%, draw 23%, Nafta 57%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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