22/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
2-2
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
23%
Draw
24%
57%
Away Win
57%
41%
Under 2.5
42%
59%
Over 2.5
58%
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
47%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tabor Sezana v Nafta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tabor Sezana
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nafta
EU Bookmakers 61%
-19% /
-19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
1.02/2.99
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.76/0.88
-1%
/
-48%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+20%
/
-14%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
288 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
423 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tabor Sezana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Nafta
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
09.09.2023
Nafta
0-0
HT 0-0
Tabor Sezana
SLVN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Tabor Sezana
SLVN2
POST-MATCH
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nafta ran out comfortable winners over Tabor Sezana 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Tabor Sezana vs Nafta?
Tabor Sezana 0-4 Nafta in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tabor Sezana vs Nafta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tabor Sezana 20%, draw 23%, Nafta 57%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Nafta)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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SLVN2
More Slovenia - 2.SNL
22 Mar 2024