Azerbaycan U21 1-5 İngiltere U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
62%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.68
Over 2.5
58%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
9.26
2-3 Goals
41%
2.44
4-5 Goals
25%
2.33
6+ Goals
13%
3.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.4pp
20%
Draw
9%
+11.2pp
62%
Away Win
86%
-23.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azerbaycan U21 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere U21 EU Bookmakers 91%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
0.79/3.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.46
+46% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -23%
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
183 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 597 · 89%
2.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.8
1.0 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azerbaycan U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY İngiltere U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1 Corners 6
06.09.2012 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 0-2 HT 0-1 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 U21
01.09.2011 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 6-0 HT 3-0 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azerbaycan U21
1-5
AWAY İngiltere U21
0.67 xG 2.17
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
204 Passes 591
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 49
5 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azerbaycan U21 vs İngiltere U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U21 swept aside Azerbaycan U21 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İngiltere U21 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Azerbaycan U21 had 29% of the ball to İngiltere U21's 71%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.67 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İngiltere U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Azerbaycan U21 and 4.00 for İngiltere U21.

What was the final score of Azerbaycan U21 vs İngiltere U21?

Azerbaycan U21 1-5 İngiltere U21 in the European U21 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azerbaycan U21 vs İngiltere U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan U21 18%, draw 20%, İngiltere U21 62%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
U21 More European U21
22 Mar 2024
14:30 Belarus U21 vs Yunanistan U21 Analysis →
17:00 Karadağ U21 vs Ermenistan U21 Analysis →
19:00 Arnavutluk U21 vs Finlandiya U21 Analysis →
20:00 Slovenya U21 vs Bosna-Hersek U21 Analysis →
20:00 Almanya U21 vs Kosova U21 Analysis →
20:00 San Marino U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 Analysis →