Belarus U21 1-0 Yunanistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
58%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.14
6+ Goals
8%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 30% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belarus U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunanistan U21 EU Bookmakers 71%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.62/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.29
-23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +100%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 493 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belarus U21
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Yunanistan U21
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2021 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 U21
08.10.2021 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 U21
15.10.2018 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 U21
01.09.2017 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 U21
11.10.2011 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 1-3 HT 1-0 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 U21
10.08.2011 Yunanistan U21 Yunanistan U21 2-3 HT 1-2 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belarus U21
1-0
AWAY Yunanistan U21
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Belarus U21 vs Yunanistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belarus U21 squeezed past Yunanistan U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Yunanistan U21 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Belarus U21 had 50% of the ball to Yunanistan U21's 50%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yunanistan U21 led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Belarus U21 and 2.17 for Yunanistan U21.

What was the final score of Belarus U21 vs Yunanistan U21?

Belarus U21 1-0 Yunanistan U21 in the European U21 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belarus U21 vs Yunanistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunanistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Belarus U21 18%, draw 24%, Yunanistan U21 58%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yunanistan U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunanistan U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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