Edinburgh City 5-2 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -23%
1.91/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.32
+42% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
0W-1D-3L
AWAY East Fife
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
25.01.2025 East Fife East Fife 4-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
08.01.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-4 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
10.08.2024 East Fife East Fife 2-0 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
29.11.2016 East Fife East Fife 1-1 HT 0-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İKK
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City cruised past East Fife 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Edinburgh City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, East Fife led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Edinburgh City and 2.75 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs East Fife?

Edinburgh City 5-2 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 35%, draw 28%, East Fife 37%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (East Fife) ✗ Under 2.5
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