Spartans 1-2 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.35/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.51
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
199 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 168 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11.03.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
19.10.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-3 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
17.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
06.04.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.02.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.12.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-4 HT 0-3 Spartans Spartans İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past Spartans 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Spartans at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Spartans and 1.33 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Elgin City?

Spartans 1-2 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spartans 46%, draw 25%, Elgin City 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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