Spartans 1-3 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.44
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.3pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.27/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.59
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
17.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
06.04.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.02.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.12.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-4 HT 0-3 Spartans Spartans İK2
19.08.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
24.10.2015 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İKK
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City saw off Spartans 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 36% / 33% — and on the day Elgin City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartans and 1.17 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Elgin City?

Spartans 1-3 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Spartans 32%, draw 36%, Elgin City 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Stirling Albion vs Clyde Analysis →
00:00 Forfar Athletic vs East Fife Analysis →
00:00 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Edinburgh City Analysis →
17:00 Stranraer vs Peterhead Analysis →