Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 29% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
2.72/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.61
+39% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Edinburgh City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.08.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-2 HT 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic got the better of Edinburgh City 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Edinburgh City?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 49%, draw 22%, Edinburgh City 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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