Havant & Waterlooville 4-0 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 32%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.45/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.46
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havant & Waterlooville
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gloucester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 11
12.10.2024 Gloucester City Gloucester City 2-1 HT 0-1 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville ran out comfortable winners over Gloucester City 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Havant & Waterlooville as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City?

Havant & Waterlooville 4-0 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Havant & Waterlooville 46%, draw 27%, Gloucester City 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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