Wimborne Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wimborne Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 34%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +2%
1.42/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.41
-11% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wimborne Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-1 HT 0-1 Wimborne Town Wimborne Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wimborne Town
1-0
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wimborne Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wimborne Town nicked a narrow win over Plymouth Parkway 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) promised a tight game; Wimborne Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wimborne Town had 41% of the ball to Plymouth Parkway's 59%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Wimborne Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Wimborne Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wimborne Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wimborne Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wimborne Town 40%, draw 25%, Plymouth Parkway 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wimborne Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wimborne Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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