Arsenal (K) 4-0 Liverpool (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

Arsenal (K)
4-0 HT 3-0
Liverpool (K)
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✓
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal (K) v Liverpool (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.82/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.16
+59% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
48.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
24.1 Crosses 12.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Liverpool (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.96 xG 0.53
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
510 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
24.11.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
24.03.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-5 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
09.09.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 4-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
24.04.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
07.02.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL

Arsenal (K) 4-0 Liverpool (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
4-0
AWAY Liverpool (K)
1.56 xG 0.07
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
537 Passes 245
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
47 Box Touches 5
23 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) ran out comfortable winners over Liverpool (K) 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 66% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 34%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.56 to 0.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.17 for Liverpool (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Arsenal (K) 4-0 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 65%, draw 20%, Liverpool (K) 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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