CD Guadalajara 2-0 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.50/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.55
-8% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Conquense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.11.2024 Conquense Conquense 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-0
AWAY Conquense
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara beat Conquense 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 55% of the ball to Conquense's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Conquense?

CD Guadalajara 2-0 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 55%, draw 27%, Conquense 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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