Conquense 0-2 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.5pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 36%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.68/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.44
+39% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Conquense vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara saw off Conquense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; CD Guadalajara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Conquense vs CD Guadalajara?

Conquense 0-2 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Conquense 37%, draw 33%, CD Guadalajara 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Conquense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Conquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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