Estepona 1-0 Granada II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada II EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
2.05/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
+25% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Granada II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Granada II Granada II 0-1 HT 0-1 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-0
AWAY Granada II
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Granada II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona nicked a narrow win over Granada II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estepona as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Estepona had 50% of the ball to Granada II's 50%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Granada II?

Estepona 1-0 Granada II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Granada II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Estepona 52%, draw 20%, Granada II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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