Granada II 0-1 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
1.33/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.79
+10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada II
0-1
AWAY Estepona
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Granada II vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona nicked a narrow win over Granada II 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Estepona made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Granada II had 63% of the ball to Estepona's 37%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Granada II vs Estepona?

Granada II 0-1 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada II vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Granada II 36%, draw 32%, Estepona 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Granada II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Granada II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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