Real Sociedad III 2-1 Subiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Subiza EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.53/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.48
+9% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Subiza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Subiza 3-1 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
2-1
AWAY Subiza
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Subiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III edged past Subiza 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Sociedad III as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 47% of the ball to Subiza's 53%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Subiza?

Real Sociedad III 2-1 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Subiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad III win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 45%, draw 23%, Subiza 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad III) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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