Subiza 3-1 Real Sociedad III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Subiza EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 32%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.12
-100% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.3
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Subiza
3-1
AWAY Real Sociedad III
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Subiza vs Real Sociedad III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Subiza beat Real Sociedad III 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Subiza as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Subiza had 55% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 45%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Subiza vs Real Sociedad III?

Subiza 3-1 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Subiza vs Real Sociedad III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Subiza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Subiza 43%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad III 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Subiza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Subiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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