Arenas de Getxo 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 25%
-17% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.73/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.37
-48% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
36.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
02.12.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
23.04.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
11.12.2022 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
23.01.2021 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
06.12.2019 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-2 HT 0-2 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo edged past Deportivo Alaves II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arenas de Getxo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 51% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves II's 49%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 0.83 for Deportivo Alaves II.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Arenas de Getxo 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 51%, draw 29%, Deportivo Alaves II 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenas de Getxo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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