Bergantinos 0-4 Compostela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Compostela EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.08/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.12
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Compostela
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2023 Compostela Compostela 0-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
30.10.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-2 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
19.02.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 3-2 HT 3-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
02.10.2021 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Compostela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela cruised past Bergantinos 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bergantinos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bergantinos and 1.25 for Compostela.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Compostela?

Bergantinos 0-4 Compostela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Compostela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 42%, draw 27%, Compostela 31%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
9 Nov 2024
18:00 Llanera vs Real Valladolid II Analysis →
18:30 Subiza vs Real Sociedad III Analysis →
19:00 Guijuelo vs Langreo Analysis →
19:00 Arenas de Getxo vs Deportivo Alaves II Analysis →